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Native election outcomes 2026: John Curtice spots worrying development for Labour

Ruling celebration suffers ‘sharp drop in help’ in catastrophic native elections throughout the nation

Sir John Curtice has given his verdict on a brutal evening for Labour (Picture: Getty)

High pollster Sir John Curtice has noticed a worrying development for Labour in its disastrous native election outcomes that may possible have Sir Keir Starmer fretting. The Prime Minister’s celebration has taken a battering after dropping 204 councillors in a single day, with Nigel Farage’s Reform UK triumphantly scooping a whole bunch of Pink Wall seats.

The already dreadful image is barely more likely to worsen on Friday, when most different native authorities declare their outcomes. Labour is predicted to be crushed in former heartlands comparable to Wales. In an evaluation for the BBC, Sir John mentioned Reform “are actually the winners” after taking 30% of council seats declared up to now.

Learn extra: Farage breaks silence on Reform win up to now and declares ‘finest is but to come back’

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He mentioned Labour and the Tories had “suffered a pointy drop in help”, with the ruling celebration’s vote down 19 factors in contrast with 2024.

However much more worryingly for the Prime Minister, the professor of politics at Strathclyde College mentioned: “The drop has been particularly sharp in locations the place the celebration was beforehand strongest and in wards the place many individuals establish as Muslim.”

Labour has misplaced management of seven councils, together with Tameside in former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner’s constituency.

Labour has lengthy been in energy there, however now could be in no total management after dropping 16 of the 17 seats it was defending to Reform.

A defiant Sir Keir Starmer has mentioned that he’s “not going to stroll away” regardless of the horrible outcomes.

Farage says Reform on track for normal election win after early native features

There have been widespread requires the crisis-hit PM to stop in current weeks after he was engulfed by the Lord Mandelson scandal and a collection of controversial insurance policies.

However requested if he had contemplated resignation, he advised broadcasters on Friday: “The voters have despatched a message in regards to the tempo of change, how they need their lives improved.

“I used to be elected to fulfill these challenges, however I’m not going to stroll away from these challenges.”

Cupboard ministers have defended the embattled PM, together with his deputy David Lammy saying on Friday: “You don’t change a pilot mid-flight.”

Nonetheless, there are experiences that Power Secretary Ed Miliband has privately urged Sir Keir to set a timetable for his departure.

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