The analyst who predicted the US-Iran battle warns conscription is coming and that the battle will set off a horrific disaster leaving billions of individuals lifeless.
Professor Jiang has predicted that as much as 6 billion individuals might starve to dying if traits proceed (Picture: Predictive Historical past/YouTube)
The analyst who foresaw the US-Iran battle is now predicting it’ll drag on indefinitely — with catastrophic penalties for international meals safety that he says might put six billion lives in danger.
Jiang Xueqin, the Chinese language-born commentator who goes by “Professor Jiang” on-line and has been known as “China’s Nostradamus”, made the prediction throughout a two-hour dialog on The Diary of a CEO podcast with Steven Bartlett.
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His Predictive Historical past channel on YouTube has constructed a following of greater than 2.5 million in underneath a 12 months, with earlier calls together with Trump’s 2024 victory and the Iran invasion.
Why does the Iran battle threaten international meals provides?
On the coronary heart of his argument is the Strait of Hormuz: a 33-kilometre passage Iran has blocked since hostilities started, by way of which a good portion of the world’s fertiliser provide chain usually passes. With insurers refusing to cowl vessels, these shipments have stalled.
“The world depends upon fertiliser,” Jiang instructed Bartlett, referencing an earlier episode of the podcast that includes economist Steve Eager. “With out fertilizers, the world might solely maintain at most two billion individuals.”
That leaves six billion with out a dependable meals supply. “What are the six billion individuals going to do? Simply starve to dying? No. They will migrate,” he stated. “And that is going to create an enormous international disaster all through the world.”
‘It is a query of who’s going to starve’
In keeping with IB Occasions, Jiang’s six billion determine is his personal extrapolation, however institutional knowledge helps the broader alarm. The UN’s Meals and Agriculture Organisation has warned this month {that a} third of all internationally traded fertiliser strikes by way of the strait, with shortages anticipated to depress harvests effectively into 2027. The World Meals Programme places the human toll at 45 million further individuals tipped into starvation.
IB Occasions World in Information analysis reportedly underlined the size of the dependency, with synthetic nitrogen fertilisers, manufactured through the Haber-Bosch course of, underpining meals manufacturing for near half the world’s inhabitants. Strip these fertilisers from the system and an estimated 3.5 to 4 billion individuals would lose their main technique of sustenance, states the report.
Steve Eager, an honorary professor at College School London who predicted the 2008 monetary crash, warned throughout his personal Diary of a CEO look in April that India might exhaust its fertiliser stockpiles inside two to a few months.
“Meals manufacturing on the planet might fall 10 to 25 per cent and there merely will not be sufficient meals for everybody on the planet,” he stated. “Then it is a query of who’s going to starve.”
He additionally highlighted the paradox dealing with Gulf States, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE amongst them, which ship huge portions of fertiliser to the world whereas importing between 80 and 90 per cent of their very own meals.
Why does Jiang imagine America needs the battle to proceed?
Fairly than treating the meals and vitality disaster as an unlucky by-product, Jiang introduced it as a deliberate final result – a chronic battle, he argued, compels the world to buy American vitality and reinforces the greenback’s dominance.
“This battle in Iran advantages America tremendously. So why not have it go on for a protracted, very long time?” he stated.
Preserving the battle going long-term would require American boots on the bottom in giant numbers, he argued, and pointed to laws already in place as proof the groundwork is being laid.
A provision enacted on 18 December 2025 underneath the Fiscal 12 months 2026 Nationwide Protection Authorization Act will routinely enrol all males aged 18 to 26 within the Selective Service draft pool by December 2026. The bipartisan measure has no formal connection to Iran, and Congress would want a separate vote to activate an precise draft.
“In an effort to ensure that this battle goes on for a very long time, you want floor troops. And also you want numerous floor troops. And that is why you want a nationwide draft,” he instructed Bartlett.
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